NBA Best Bets: Heat vs. Hornets Picks for October 26

Published 5:48 am Saturday, October 26, 2024

The Miami Heat (0-1) hit the road in Southeast Division action against the Charlotte Hornets (1-1) on Saturday, October 26, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET. The Heat are 4.5-point favorites in the game, the first matchup between the squads this season.

Our computer predictions in this article will assist you in choosing the best bets available for Saturday’s game.

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Heat vs. Hornets Game Info

  • When: Saturday, October 26, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET
  • Where: Spectrum Center in Charlotte, North Carolina
  • TV: FDSSE and FDSSUN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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Heat vs. Hornets Best Bets

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Terry Rozier Over 15.5 PTS

  • Last season the Heat were the NBA’s 26th-ranked team offensively (110.1 points per game), while the Hornets ranked 22nd defensively in points per game (116.8) in the league.
  • Last season the Heat averaged 6.7 fewer points (110.1 per game) than the Hornets conceded (116.8).

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LaMelo Ball Over 23.5 PTS

  • Charlotte had the NBA’s 28th-ranked offense (106.6 points per game) a season ago, while Miami was third-ranked on defense, conceding 108.4 points on average.
  • Charlotte put together a 20-19 record in games when it scored more than 108.4 points.

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Pick ATS: Hornets (+ 4.5)

  • Miami was 41-41-0 against the spread last year.
  • Charlotte’s record against the spread last year was 34-48-0.
  • The Heat’s ATS record as 4.5-point favorites or greater was 10-13 last year.
  • The Hornets went 30-38 as underdogs of 4.5 points or greater last year.

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Pick OU:

Under (223.5)

  • The Heat and their opponents scored more than 223.5 points in 29 of 82 games last season.
  • The Hornets and their opponents combined to score more than 223.5 points in 40 of 82 games last season.
  • Miami games had an average of 220.7 points last season, 2.8 less than this game’s over/under.
  • The average number of points in Charlotte’s outings last year was 223.9, which is 0.4 fewer points than this game’s over/under.

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Moneyline Pick: Hornets (+155)

  • The Heat finished 35-12 in games they were favored on the moneyline last season (winning 74.5% of those games).
  • Last season, the Hornets were the underdog 76 times and won 18, or 23.7%, of those games.
  • When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -190 or shorter last year, Miami finished with a record of 17-5 (77.3%).
  • Last season, Charlotte won 15 of its 67 games, or 22.4%, when it was the underdog by at least +155 on the moneyline.
  • Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Heat have an implied win probability of 65.5%.

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