Appalachian State vs. Texas State Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – January 4

Published 10:40 pm Friday, January 3, 2025

Saturday’s contest at George M. Holmes Convocation Center has the Texas State Bobcats (8-6, 1-1 Sun Belt) going head to head against the Appalachian State Mountaineers (6-7, 0-2 Sun Belt) at 1:00 PM ET (on January 4). Our computer prediction projects a close 70-69 win for Texas State, so expect a competitive matchup.

Based on our computer prediction, Texas State projects to cover the 1.5-point spread in its matchup against Appalachian State. The total has been set at 133.5, and the two teams are projected to exceed it.

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Appalachian State vs. Texas State Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, January 4, 2025
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Boone, North Carolina
  • Venue: George M. Holmes Convocation Center
  • Line: Appalachian State -1.5
  • Point total: 133.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Appalachian State -120, Texas State -102

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Appalachian State vs. Texas State Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Texas State 70, Appalachian State 69

Spread & Total Prediction for Appalachian State vs. Texas State

  • Pick ATS: Texas State (+1.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (133.5)

Appalachian State is 4-7-0 against the spread this season compared to Texas State’s 7-5-0 ATS record. A total of five out of the Mountaineers’ games this season have hit the over, and seven of the Bobcats’ games have gone over. The two teams score an average of 145.9 points per game, 12.4 more points than this matchup’s total. In the past 10 games, Appalachian State is 4-6 against the spread and 4-6 overall while Texas State has gone 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall.

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Appalachian State Performance Insights

  • The Mountaineers have a +52 scoring differential, topping opponents by four points per game. They’re putting up 69.3 points per game to rank 309th in college basketball and are giving up 65.3 per contest to rank 43rd in college basketball.
  • Appalachian State comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 2.6 boards. It is recording 34.2 rebounds per game (119th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 31.6 per contest.
  • Appalachian State makes 7.8 three-pointers per game (184th in college basketball) at a 33.9% rate (180th in college basketball), compared to the 7.2 its opponents make while shooting 28.1% from deep.
  • The Mountaineers rank 270th in college basketball with 91.8 points scored per 100 possessions, and 91st in college basketball defensively with 86.5 points conceded per 100 possessions.
  • Appalachian State has lost the turnover battle by 1.8 turnovers per game, committing 11.8 (204th in college basketball action) while forcing 10 (326th in college basketball).

Texas State Performance Insights

  • The Bobcats outscore opponents by 7.9 points per game (posting 76.6 points per game, 152nd in college basketball, and giving up 68.7 per outing, 114th in college basketball) and have a +110 scoring differential.
  • Texas State wins the rebound battle by 6.2 boards on average. It collects 33.9 rebounds per game, 136th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 27.7.
  • Texas State hits 1.5 fewer threes per contest than the opposition, 5.4 (352nd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.9.
  • Texas State has committed 11.5 turnovers per game (176th in college basketball) while forcing 11.4 (225th in college basketball).

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